Insight to Outcome
I used to think the insight was the hard part.
Turns out, insight is the easy part now. The cheap
Calibration Compounds
Good judgment isn't innate. It's calibrated.
The difference between someone with good judgment and someone without
Conviction Moments
You have a brilliant strategy.
The analysis is solid. The logic is airtight. The deck is polished.
Then you present
Intelligence Isn't Judgment
Good judgment is knowing what matters.
It's distinguishing signal from noise. Seeing second-order effects. Understanding when rules apply
Delay Is a Decision
2006. Steve Jobs approached Intel with an opportunity.
Make the chips for a new product called the iPhone.
Intel turned
Loops Amplify Direction
2008. MySpace was the world's largest social network. 115 million users.
Then Facebook overtook them in April.
What
Iterate Through Failure
Everyone knows SpaceX fails fast. Blow up rockets. Learn. Iterate.
What most don't know: How close it came
Behavior Reveals Purpose
Sears had a vision. One company, unified mission, customer-centric culture.
Eddie Lampert had a better idea.
2005. He restructured Sears
Navigation Beats Maps
That quarterly strategy deck sitting in your shared drive?
Beautiful vision. Market analysis. SWOT. Three-year roadmap with milestones.
Can'
Process Isn't Strategy
I've seen this so often. The comforting illusion that following processes equals strategic thinking.
The difference between process