01
Dec
Use It or Lose It
Skills you don't practice atrophy. This isn't metaphor. It's neuroscience. And AI makes the
4 min read
Latest
01
Dec
The Context Flow
Whether AI makes you better, makes you worse, or makes you capable of the impossible comes down to a single
9 min read
01
Dec
The Missing Middle
AI didn't just eliminate jobs. It created work that couldn't exist before. The question is whether
4 min read
01
Dec
The Jagged Frontier
AI passes the bar exam but can't count syllables. You can't predict from first principles where
4 min read
01
Dec
The Button Problem
If generating something takes no effort, what signals that it has value?
The Musician's Nightmare
In 2023, a
4 min read
01
Dec
The Apprenticeship Paradox
Need experience to supervise AI. But AI eliminates the roles where experience is gained.
The Junior Doctor's Dilemma
4 min read
01
Dec
Calibration Compounds
Good judgment isn't innate. It's calibrated.
The difference between someone with good judgment and someone without
1 min read
28
Nov
Foxes Update Beliefs
Today's 7-day weather forecast is as accurate as the 3-day forecast was in the 1980s.
This is one
1 min read
28
Nov
Cheap Capability, Expensive Judgment
When everything becomes cheap, something becomes expensive.
This is how scarcity migrates.
When manufacturing became cheap, design became expensive. When
1 min read
27
Nov
Conviction Moments
You have a brilliant strategy.
The analysis is solid. The logic is airtight. The deck is polished.
Then you present
1 min read